Business, Finance & Law      Economics

The Impact of Inflation and Monetary Policy Shocks on Stock Market Performance in Zimbabwe

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Book Details
Language
English
Publishers
GRIN Verlag (7 May 2024)
Weight
0.13 KG
Publication Date
07/05/2024
ISBN-10
3389023798
Pages
86 pages
ISBN-13
9783389023792
Dimensions
14.81 x 0.53 x 21.01 cm
SKU
9783389023792
Author Name
Mkhululi Ncube (Author)
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Bachelor Thesis from the year 2023 in the subject Economics - Finance, grade: Distinction, National University of Science & Technology Zimbabwe (Finance), language: English, abstract: This study examines the impact of inflation and monetary policy shocks on stock market performance in Zimbabwe from 2000 to 2022. The study analyzes the relationship between different variables' regression using data obtained from the Zimbabwe Stock Exchange (ZSE) returns, inflation rates obtained from the Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency (ZIMSTAT), and interest rates obtained from the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe.

In this regression, ZSE returns are the dependent variable while inflation and interest rates are the independent variables. The research findings suggest that inflation has a negative impact, while monetary policy shocks have a positive impact on stock market performance in Zimbabwe.

The study finds that inflation has a significant and persistent negative effect on stock market returns, with a one standard deviation shock in inflation leading to a significant decline in stock market returns. Moreover, the study identifies that monetary policy shocks, such as changes in interest rates, have a significant impact on stock market returns, but the effect is less pronounced compared to inflation in Zimbabwe.

Furthermore, the study examines the transmission channels through which monetary policy shocks affect the stock market in Zimbabwe. The results suggest that changes in interest rates affect the stock market mainly through their impact on inflation expectations and exchange rates.

This highlights the importance of considering both monetary and macroeconomic factors when analyzing the impact of monetary policy on the stock market in Zimbabwe. The study concludes that high inflation rates and frequent monetary policy interventions have a detrimental effect on stock market performance in Zimbabwe.

The findings of this research are relevant to investors, policymakers, and analy. .

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