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Residential Electrical Long-term Load Forecast: using Artificial Neural Network: 11/0.415 kV feeder Port Harcourt, Nigeria

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Book Details
Language
English
Publishers
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing (24 April 2024)
Weight
0.09 KG
Publication Date
24/04/2024
ISBN-10
6207486676
Pages
52 pages
ISBN-13
9786207486670
Dimensions
15 x 0.3 x 22 cm
SKU
9786207486670
Author Name
Agboola Olasunkanmi Johnson (Author)
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The essentiality of electric load forecast for the effective design and management of electric power systems has been achieved in this study. PHEDC may plan for infrastructure construction, resource allocation, and energy management by using accurate long-term load forecasts of this study.

In the context of the 11/0. 415 kV feeder in Port Harcourt, Nigeria, we have discussed the use of ANNs for a long-term of ten (10) years of load forecasting.

Curve fitting feed-forward artificial neural network has been used for the simulation on MATLAB 2020 environment, with six input datasets obtained from TCN, and PHEDCs’ offices, and average temperature from NIMET-Abuja all in Nigeria from January, 2015-December, 2019. The regression plot of epoch 11 with training; R=1 and validation of 0.

9999 has been achieved which indicates how efficient was the training of the dataset. Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm is used as an optimization technique in this study.

It shows that ANN provides effective results on long-term electrical load forecasting of the Woji Estate Feeder with a total forecasted value of 29734. 4 MWHR and an average value of 24778.

67 MWHR at the end of the tenth year. .

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