Politics, Philosophy & Social Sciences      Government & Politics

Die Hoffnungen der Auguren: Techniken der Sozialprognose im Amerika des Kalten Krieges

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Book Details
Language
German
Publishers
Springer VS; 2024th edition (23 April 2024)
Weight
0.51 KG
Publication Date
27/05/2024
ISBN-10
303147578X
Pages
299 pages
ISBN-13
9783031475788
Dimensions
14.81 x 1.75 x 21.01 cm
SKU
9783031475788
Author Name
Christian Dayé (Author)
Christian Dayé is a sociologist at the Science, Technology and Society (STS) Unit of Graz University of Technology. His research interests is the sociology of science, knowledge, and technology. In recent years, he has focused mainly on the sociology of (social) scientific prediction as well as on the history of the social sciences during the Cold War era. Read more about this authorRead less about this author
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In diesem Buch wird beschrieben, wie Forscher:innen in der Zeit des Kalten Kriegs die Meinungen von Expert:innen nutzten, um Prognosen über Entwicklungen von geopolitischer Bedeutung zu konstruieren. Am Beispiel der RAND Corporation, einer US-amerikanischen Denkfabrik mit engen Beziehungen zu Militär und Pentagon, analysiert der Autor die Entwicklung von zwei Prognosetechniken, der Delphi-Befragung und dem politischen Planspiel.

Auf der Grundlage von Archivrecherchen und Interviews untersuchen die Kapitel die Entwicklung dieser Techniken. Dabei wird freigelegt, wie zeitgenössische Sozialwissenschaftler:innen eine der zentralen Kategorien der Kultur des Kalten Krieges, nämlich jene der:s Expert:in, auffassten.

Die damals entwickelten Methoden der Sozialprognose dienen somit als Quellen einer breiteren Erörterung des Stellenwerts von Wissen und Wissenschaft in der Gesellschaft zur Zeit des Kalten Kriegs. .

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